You'll have to forgive me my poor metaphor below, but it's the best I can think of at the moment. I've been awake for 29 hours straight now, as I woke up at 5am yesterday for a 15-hour shift as a poll worker in Pontiac, Michigan, and, like many of you I'm sure, I was unable to sleep at all last night. I just got off a devastating phone call with my son who's a freshman in college who doesn't understand why what just happened...happened.
There's going to be a mountain of digital & physical ink spilled and a cacophony of talking heads on the Sunday morning shows yapping about What Went Wrong, yadda yadda yadda. Most of it will be bullshit. Some of it will be accurate.
Since writing about healthcare is my thing, and writing about the ACA specifically is very much in my wheelhouse, I'm going to put my take on this into healthcare risk pool terms. Besides, assuming the GOP also keeps control of the House, the ACA is likely gone (and even if they don't, it's about to be radically gutted via regulatory actions anyway), so I might as well.
I've spent the past couple of weeks up to my ears in 2025 annual healthcare policy rate filing analysis, so I haven't gotten around to addressing JD Vance's recent appearance on NBC in which he finally explained exactly what Donald Trump's "concept of a plan" for healthcare is:
When Donald Trump stammered at the recent presidential debate that he had “concepts of a plan” for Americans’ health care, he came across like a child who had forgotten his homework. But thanks to his campaign and his running mate JD Vance, we know now the Republican ticket really does have some “concepts.” Those concepts are bringing health care into the election — and presenting a tremendous opportunity to Vice President Kamala Harris.
Last Sunday, Vance raised the eyebrows of anyone familiar with health care policy when he told NBC’s Kristen Welker about Trump’s “deregulatory agenda.”